Hurricane Imelda Closes In On Bermuda As Humberto's Remnant Heads Toward Europe Jonathan Erdman, Jennifer Gray, Rob Shackelford, Sara Tonks, Jonathan Belles and Caitlin Kaiser October 1, 2025 at 4:00 AM 0 Hurricane Imelda is closing in on Bermuda just one day after Humberto brushed the islands Tuesd...
- - Hurricane Imelda Closes In On Bermuda As Humberto's Remnant Heads Toward Europe
Jonathan Erdman, Jennifer Gray, Rob Shackelford, Sara Tonks, Jonathan Belles and Caitlin Kaiser October 1, 2025 at 4:00 AM
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Hurricane Imelda is closing in on Bermuda just one day after Humberto brushed the islands Tuesday. Both storms will continue to generate high surf, rip currents and some coastal flooding along parts of the East Coast the next few days.
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Hurricane Imelda: Bermuda Next
Winds are already brisk in Bermuda in the wake of Humberto yesterday and ahead of Imelda's arrival. Gusts as high as 58 mph were clocked at the National Museum of Bermuda, and gusts from 40 to 50 mph continue to be clocked in both the western and eastern reaches of the island chain.
The Government of Bermuda announced L.F. Wade International Airport, the Causeway linking St. David's Island and Hamilton Parish, and all public schools will close today.
A hurricane warning is in effect in Bermuda, meaning hurricane-force conditions are expected by this evening. Winds of 40-plus mph may begin as soon as this afternoon.
Imelda is moving quickly east and will strike Bermuda as either a Category 1 or 2 hurricane this evening.
Bermuda could also see another 2 to 4 inches of rain from Imelda following Tuesday's outer bands of rain from Humberto. Storm surge flooding along with large, battering waves, is also expected in Bermuda.
Imelda will then move into the North Atlantic Thursday and become a non-tropical low.
(MORE: What Does The Forecast Cone Mean?)
Projected PathHumberto Fizzling
Centered about 280 miles north of Bermuda, Humberto is now becoming increasingly sheared out and will merge with a cold front later today and dissipate by Thursday.
That said, some of Humberto's remnant energy will intensify a cold front that will plow into Ireland, the U.K. and parts of western Europe Friday into Saturday with strong winds gusts.
Projected PathU.S. Waves
The only lingering impact in the U.S. from both Humberto and Imelda will be dangerous high surf, rip currents and some minor to locally moderate flooding at high tide. Several homes have fallen into the Atlantic in Buxton, North Carolina, already, due to the high surf.
This rip current threat will be in place over the next few days from coastal New England to Florida's Atlantic beaches.
The high tide where coastal flooding is the most concern is late Wednesday afternoon from the Jersey Shore to the coastal Carolinas, though minor flooding may occur in spots with Thursday afternoon's high tide, as well.
Obey any alerts at East Coast beaches this week and, if in doubt, stay out of the surf zone.
Wave Height ForecastUnusually Tight Dance Of Hurricanes
The close proximity of two hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin grabbed attention of meteorologists, Tuesday.
At that time, the centers of Humberto and Imelda were separated by less than 500 miles, the closest any two Atlantic Basin hurricanes have been to each other in at least 59 years, according to WPLG-TV hurricane expert Michael Lowry.
Upper-level outflow winds from Imelda also increased wind shear over neighboring Humberto, as the satellite loop in a post on X from NOAA/CIRA below shows.
The interaction of two tropical systems — or low pressure areas in general — is known as the Fujiwhara effect. In this case, Humberto's close proximity saved the Southeast from a landfall from Imelda, halting its northward drift and instead pulling it east.
Recap
Humberto and Imelda came off Africa as a pair in the middle of September and slowly trekked across the Main Development Region for a week until Tropical Storm Humberto formed on September 24 several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands.
By the 24th and 25th, the tropical wave that eventually spawned Imelda first brought widespread rainfall of 1 to 4 inches across Puerto Rico, with the heaviest totals being reported across the southern parts of the territory. No surprise that this heavy rainfall brought some flood and landslide reports across Puerto Rico highways, with one car being washed out with people still inside. At least one person was killed.
As Humberto formed several hundred miles to the northeast, the wave that would become Imelda spread rain to Hispaniola. One person was killed and 5,000 homes were flooded in southwestern Haiti. Landslides and river flooding punished the Dominican Republic, where a bridge collapsed as a truck crossed, killing the driver in Yamasá. A satellite loop from the day can be seen here.
By September 26, Humberto had become a hurricane well to the northeast of Puerto Rico as pre-Imelda moved its drenching rains over Cuba and the Bahamas.
Flooding and landslides were reported in Cuba, where two people were killed.
The forecast for Imelda became extremely uncertain that day with many models pointing the future hurricane toward the Carolinas and others out to sea. For more on this days-long conversation, see our next section.
As Imelda moved through the Bahamas, a peak wind gust of 44 mph was clocked at Nassau and 38 mph at Freeport. Just over 2 inches of rain was reported at Over Yonder Cay, located about halfway between Nassau and Exuma.
Humberto underwent rapid intensification last Friday, with its maximum sustained winds jumping from 65 to 145 mph in only 24 hours.
It then went on to become the second Category 5 hurricane in the Atlantic Basin so far this season.
Track HistoriesImelda's Extreme Forecast Challenges
The forecast for the system that eventually became Imelda was very uncertain.
Three distinct camps in computer model guidance developed: One that took Imelda into the Carolinas, a second that stalled the storm off the Southeast coast, and a third that took Imelda away from the Southeast and out to sea.
At the bookends of this forecast challenge were an unseasonably far south upper-level low that was forecast to dig into the Southeast and the Bermuda High to the east. In between these two, both Imelda and Humberto were set to trot a relatively narrow gap. Models had to get the strength and position of all four features and their interactions correct.
In just 48 hours from late on Sept. 26 — when the first cone of uncertainty was issued — to the evening of Sept. 28, the NHC forecast changed significantly from a potential landfalling hurricane in the Southeast U.S. to a hard east turn well before the storm could reach the coast, as the graphic below shows.
(More: How Imelda's Forecast Changed)
It turns out Imelda's slower northward progress, a weaker upper-level low and a stronger than initially forecast Humberto made an enormous difference in the track of Imelda. Humberto being stronger than expected allowed for the storm to help break down the Bermuda High, which would have steered Imelda into the Southeast.
The impacts between Imelda and Humberto were not one way. There was also a more subtle change in Humberto's intensity because Imelda ended up close enough to Humberto to impart a taxing, strong upper-level northwest wind, causing Humberto to weaken.
Source: "AOL General News"
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